Tools

Deductible and retention break-even calculator

Compares two deductible or retention options by expected annual cost, finds the claim frequency where they cost the same, and shows what a bad year would cost.

Runs entirely in your browser: nothing you enter is sent or stored by this site. Results are estimates for planning, not a quote or advice.

A higher deductible lowers the premium and moves the first dollars of every claim onto you. Whether that is a good trade depends on how often you have claims and how big they run. This tool compares two options on expected cost, finds the break-even claim count and shows a bad year. The numbers it opens with are examples.

How to use it

  1. Option A and Option B. For each, the annual premium, the deductible or retention per claim, and, if the program has one, an aggregate cap: the most you will pay in deductibles in a year. Take them from the quotes or the proposed program terms. Leave the cap blank if there is none.
  2. Expected claims per year. From your loss runs: count claims per year over the last three to five years. A broker can pull loss runs from your carriers.
  3. Average claim size. The average total cost of those claims.
  4. Claims in a bad year. A count you would hate to see. The default is 8.

The math

Expected retained losses = claims per year × the smaller of the average claim size and the deductible, then limited by the aggregate cap if there is one. Expected total = premium + expected retained losses. The break-even is the claim frequency at which the two options' totals are equal. The tool scans up to 200 claims a year and shows the crossing.

A hypothetical example with the opening numbers: Option A has a $42,000 premium and a $1,000 deductible. Option B has a $36,000 premium, a $10,000 deductible and a $40,000 aggregate cap. At 3 claims a year averaging $6,000:

  • A retains 3 × $1,000 = $3,000, for an expected total of $45,000.
  • B retains 3 × $6,000 = $18,000, for an expected total of $54,000.

Option A costs $9,000 less. The gap between them is $6,000 minus $5,000 for every claim, which reaches zero at 1.2 claims a year. That is the break-even. Below it Option B is cheaper. Above it Option A is, until about 34 claims a year, where B's cap makes it cheaper again.

In a bad year of 8 claims of $6,000, A costs $50,000. B would retain $48,000 but its cap holds that to $40,000, for $76,000. The second bad-year row assumes each claim is at least as large as the deductible. Here that changes nothing for A, and B stays at $76,000 because the cap binds.

Assumptions and limits

  • The tool uses one average size for every claim. A deductible limits each claim separately, so a mix of small and large claims with the same average retains less than the tool shows. Two claims of $500 and $11,500 average $6,000, but against a $10,000 deductible they retain $10,500, not $12,000.
  • Premium savings are what you were quoted. They are not guaranteed to persist at renewal.
  • It does not include collateral, claims handling or TPA fees that large-deductible programs often require. Add them with the Total cost of risk (TCOR) calculator.
  • A deductible and a self-insured retention are treated the same. They differ in who handles claims and how limits erode. See deductibles vs self-insured retentions: who pays first.
  • The tool cannot tell whether you can fund the bad year from cash. That judgment is yours and your CFO's.
  • Break-even is found by scanning, so it is an estimate. If no break-even appears up to 200 claims, one option costs less at every frequency for that claim size.

Read risk transfer vs retention: avoid, reduce, transfer or retain for the strategy, large deductible workers' comp programs: how they work and what they cost for the comp version, and loss runs: what they are and how to request them for where to get your claim counts. The glossary defines a deductible, a self-insured retention and a large deductible program.

Last reviewed October 10, 2026

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